FAQ

Your email provider may consider 4QTiming email 'spam' or 'junk' email and is putting it in your 'spam' folder or blocking them. Make sure emails from 4QTiming.com are 'white' listed in your email account to correct.

There are various Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) that are designed to provide one time (1X), two times (2X) or three times (3X) the performance of the NASDAQ-100 index. For example, with a 2X ETF, when the NASDAQ-100 increases by 10%, the 2X ETF should increase by 20%.

Correspondingly, there are also ETFs that attempt to track the inverse of the NASDAQ-100 by 1X, 2X or 3X. These 'inverse' ETFs provide a positive return as the NASDAQ-100 trends down.

ETFs for trading on 4QTiming Signals.

These ETFs are designed to track the NASDAQ-100 on a daily basis. How well they perform compared to the NASDAQ-100 return for a 4QTiming signal varies, and is dependent on market volatility. In general, they will very seldom exactly match what the NASDAQ-100 return is for a 4QTiming signal and will be further off during volatile market periods.

4QTiming returns are based on an 'entry value' equal to the NASDAQ-100 'market open' the day following a signal change. The 'exit value' will also usually be based on the the next day open after a signal change unless a 'Stop Loss' exit was triggered and that will then be used for the exit value.

The Performance Summarizer summarizes the results of 4QTiming signals for various past date ranges. The 'Total Return' is the total compounded percent increase for the time period selected and the 'Annual Rate' is the compounded annual rate of that 'Total Return' over the same time period.

NDX2x returns are based on you investing in Nasdaq100 2x leveraged etfs (QLD/QID) with the 4QTiming signals and NDX3x returns on investing in 3x leveraged etfs (TQQQ/SQQQ).

Your actual returns will typically be less than what the Performance Summarizer shows. The reason for that is that the NASDAQ-100 ETFs are designed to track the NASDAQ-100 on a daily basis. How well they perform compared to the NASDAQ-100 return for a 4QTiming signal varies and will very seldom match what the Nasdaq-100 return is for a 4QTiming signal and will be further off during volatile market periods.

In the box below the ‘Growth Of’, you can enter an initial investment value and then see how your initial amount would have grown with 4QTiming over the time period you picked.

Note: This only applies if you have an active subscription to the 4QTiming service.

You will see this discrepency the first two days after a signal change. The Current Signal Performance tracks the previous signal until the trade occurs for the new signal at market open the day after a signal change.

Auto-Trading is where you sign up with a broker to do the trade switching for you on 4QTiming signals. 4QTiming signals will then go to both you and your broker, who will then change your investments to the ETFs or NQ Futures contracts on 4QTiming signals.

Using a service like this relieves you from watching for 4QTiming signal changes and then doing the trade swaps, the broker will handle all that for you.

4QTiming uses Global Auto Trading for the web site strategies NDX2x and NDX3x. With 4QTiming's Collective2 strategies you can use Collective2's service or Global Auto Trading.

Collective2.com(NDX3x)
Collective2.com(FutNQ)

Both trades are driven by the same model, the only difference is when the trade is executed - end of day for C2 NDX3x or next day open for 4QTiming signals. This can impact returns dramatically depending on what drives the market overnight after the close until the next day open.

Historically, prior to 2017,back tested end of day trading (C2) has added 20-30% to annual returns compared to trading at next day open (4Q). However, this has not been the case for 2017-2018 and in fact has been reversed. Time will tell if this next day trading will continue to provide better returns or the market will revert back to its historical pattern of providing better returns on market close trades.

The 'Signal Change' emails are issued typically within an hour of market close'.

ETFs for trading on 4QTiming Signals.

See Step 2 in Steps to Take to learn more.

4QTiming’s recommendation for initial subscribers is to wait and invest on the next signal.

At the next 'market open' you invest according to the strategy you are following for 4QTiming signals.

• NDX2x: change your investment to the ETF noted in the signal change, set 'stop loss' to the Stop Loss value.
• NDX3x: change your investment to the ETF noted in the signal change, set 'stop loss' to the Stop Loss value.

All 'stop loss' orders should be entered as 'GTC' - good till cancelled.

If the 'market open' is less than the stop loss, you do not place the trade and stay in cash.

Login, then go to 'My Account' and the 'Subscription' page. Select the 'Cancel' option and select 'Continue' or 'Cancel Subscription' button. You will receive and email verifying your subscription cancellation.

You will continue to have access as a 'Member' until your current paid subscription expires.

Login using your previous subscription login id and password. Then go to 'My Account' and the 'Subscription' page. Select the subscription plan you want and continue with the payment process.

Yes, checks are accepted for semi-annual and annual subscriptions. Please contact support@4qtiming.com for details.

4QTiming does not share your account information.

The original model began live trading on 5/17/2006 and was developed over several years of market analysis. It had been back tested over 25 years to prove it’s ability to weather various market periods and volatility.

Changes to the model are only done when the change significantly improves performance of the model and is driven by two factors. One is that I continually review and look for new ways to improve the model on an ongoing basis. The other factor that drives changes is if there are new influences affecting market behavior that need to be accounted for in the model. To not recognize that market behavior had changed, and to not take steps to account for it, is to ignore reality and eventually repeat the past.

Having said that, the model has been modified three times. In November 2011 to improve response to volatility as a result of the unprecedented market volatility caused by Europe in 2011. Again in April 2013 to improve even more its response to volatility. And finally, the current model was implemented in May 2016.

This final change was a major change that added nine short term/long term market events/transition indicators layered on top the previous long term trend model. This new model can be used to trade with the various leveraged ETFs and the Nasdaq100 e-mini futures NQ contract.

4QTiming signal changes with the new model began on 5/1/2016. The Signal/History page results prior to 5/1/2016 are from backtesting the Nasdaq-100 with the new model.

Enter in your Primary or Secondary email account settings an email address for your phone's 'email to SMS' gateway. The format for this is [your10digitphonenumber]@[phoneSMSgateway]. The easiest way to determine this email address is to send a text message from your phone to your email address. Your phone's SMS gateway will show in your email sender's address.

Examples:

AT&T - xxxyyyzzzz@txt.att.net
Sprint - xxxyyyzzzz@messaging.sprintpcs.com
T-Mobile - xxxyyyzzzz@tmomail.net
US Cellular - xxxyyyzzzz@email.uscc.net
Verizon - xxxyyyzzzz@vtext.com

4QTiming was launched in 2010 and grew out of my own desire for higher returns with my retirement savings. I was tired and frustrated with dealing with the costs, time, and anxiety of trading with individual stocks and watch my hard earned gains evaporate when the market decided to go down!

That frustration led me to investigate market timing. When you look at market charts there are obvious up and down trends that appear, the trick is to identify when these trends change. Market timing is where you identify these trends and then invest in ETFs that make money on the ‘up’ or ‘down’ trends. The additional benefit with market timing is that it simplifies the whole process of managing your retirement savings and eliminates the costs, time and anxiety of dealing with individual stocks.

I actually subscribed to a market timing site for a period of time, but was disappointed with their results. Because my background is in the process control industry and much of my work involves analyzing data and identifying trends, I wondered if I could come up with something better. Why would market timing be that much different than analyzing process trends?

It wasn’t quite as simple as I first thought, but after a few frustrations, my model provided returns that are good as or better than other available market timing sites. I began using my market timing model as my own investment strategy in 2005 and launched the 4QTiming web site in 2010.

The original 4QTiming model was based on long term trend changes and had difficulty handling volatile periods the market experienced from 2010 -2015. In May 2016 a more dynamic version of the 4QTiming model was launch that can be used confidently with leveraged 2x-3x etfs. There are 'Stop Loss' triggers with each trade to limit any potential loss with these highly leverage investments. The model gets out of a signal quickly if the market doesn't move in the direction and magnitude it expects and will let profitable signals grow.

Tom Meyer

Looking Glass Strategies

May 2016